In this article we develop the basic mathematical formula for calculating the opinion of the meta-reasoner in arguments involving a single main argument thread.
In the Introduction to Distributed Bayesian Reasoning, we argue that the rules of Bayesian inference can enable a form of distributed reasoning.
In this article we introduce the idea of meta-reasoner, which is the hypothetical fully-informed average juror.
The meta-reasoner resembles the average juror in that it holds prior beliefs equal to the average beliefs of the participants, but it is fully-informed because it holds beliefs for every relevant sub-jury.
This article is part of the series on distributed Bayesian reasoning. It assumes you have read the previous article on the Basic Math.